May 13, 2022

Good morning. The baby formula shortage highlights four larger problems with the U.S. economy.

Ashley Aguirre, 20, feeding her son.Kaylee Greenlee for The New York Times

'Really scary'

Is my baby getting enough food? It is a typical fear among new parents — and an acute one now, because of a national shortage of baby formula.

A potential bacteria outbreak led to the February shutdown of a Michigan factory that makes Similac formula, and the plant still has not reopened. Its closure has aggravated shortages created by broader pandemic supply-chain problems. Last week, stores stocked about 43 percent less baby formula than usual.

"It gets really scary," Carrie Fleming, who lives near Birmingham, Ala., told The Times. Her 3-month-old daughter, Lennix, can tolerate only one brand of formula, and Fleming could not find it anywhere near her. She finally located four small cans in New York — for $245.

In Oceanside, Calif., north of San Diego, Darice Browning was recently despondent after failing to find formula for her 10-month-old daughter, Octavia, who cannot eat solid foods. "I was freaking out, crying on the floor and my husband, Lane, came home from work and he's like, 'What's wrong?'" Browning said, "and I'm like, 'Dude, I can't feed our kids, I don't know what to do.'"

For many families, baby formula is a necessity. Some babies cannot drink breast milk — or enough of it to stay healthy — while many lower-income mothers work hourly jobs that do not provide time to breastfeed.

As my colleague Amanda Morris, who has been reporting on the shortage, says: "Most of the parents I spoke with around the country who were feeling the impact of this the hardest were ones that either had limited resources or time, or ones whose babies had allergies or disabilities that severely limited their choices."

F.D.A. officials say they are trying to alleviate the crisis. Some members of Congress — including Representative Rosa DeLauro, a Connecticut Democrat, and Senator Mitt Romney, a Utah Republican — say the federal government needs to do more.

In addition to being an urgent problem for families, the shortage highlights four larger problems within the U.S. economy. Today's newsletter focuses on them.

1. The 'everything shortage'

The pandemic has created shortages for many goods, including cars, semiconductors and furniture.

The main reasons: Factories and ports are coping with virus outbreaks and worker shortages at the same time that consumer demand for physical goods has surged, because of government stimulus programs and a shift away from spending on services (like restaurant meals). As a result, much of the global supply chain is overloaded.

The baby formula industry was already coping with these issues before an Abbott Nutrition factory in Sturgis, Mich., shut down. The company shut the factory after four babies — all of whom had drunk formula made there — contracted a rare bacterial infection; two of the babies died. It remains unclear whether the formula caused the infections.

Because sales of baby formula do not fluctuate much in normal times, factories generally lack the ability to accelerate production quickly, Rudi Leuschner, a supply-chain expert at Rutgers University, said. As a result, other factories have not been able to make up for the Sturgis shutdown.

2. Big business

The baby formula business has something in common with many other U.S. industries: It is highly concentrated.

Three companies — Abbott, Gerber and Reckitt — make nearly all of the formula that Americans use. Abbott is the largest of the three, with roughly 40 percent of the market.

A baby formula display shelf in San Diego.Ariana Drehsler for The New York Times

Over the past few decades, this kind of corporate concentration has become more common in the U.S. economy, and it tends to be very good for companies. They face less competition, allowing them to keep prices higher and wages lower. Thomas Philippon, an economist at N.Y.U., refers to this trend as "the great reversal." The subtitle of his 2019 book on the subject is "How America Gave Up on Free Markets."

For workers and consumers, concentration is often problematic. The baby-formula shortage is the latest example. If the market had more producers, a problem at any one of them might not be such a big deal. It's even possible the problem would not happen at all.

"Abbott does not fear consumers will flee," Sarah Miller, executive director of the American Economic Liberties Project, which advocates less concentration, told me. "And it does not fear government, which has a pathetic track record when it comes to holding powerful corporations and executives accountable." (The Times has profiled Miller and her work.)

3. Big bureaucracy

Even as the industry seems to be under-regulated in some crucial ways, it may be overregulated in other, superficial ways.

This newsletter has covered ways that the F.D.A.'s bureaucratic inflexibility has hampered its Covid policy, and baby formula turns out to be another case study.

Many formulas sold in Europe exceed the F.D.A.'s nutritional standards, but they are banned from being sold here, often because of technicalities, like labeling, Derek Thompson of The Atlantic has noted. Donald Trump exacerbated the situation with a trade policy that made it harder to import formula from Canada. These policies benefit American formula makers, at the expense of families.

The inflexibility of American regulatory and trade policy, Thompson wrote, "might be the most important part of the story."

4. The gerontocracy

The U.S. has long put a higher priority on taking care of the elderly than taking care of young families.

Americans over 65 receive universal health insurance (Medicare), and most receive a regular government check (Social Security). Many children, by contrast, live in poverty. Relative to other affluent countries, the U.S. spends a notably small share of its budget on children; President Biden's stalled Build Back Better plan aimed to change this, Urban Institute researchers have pointed out.

Alyssa Rosenberg, a Washington Post columnist, argues that the formula shortage is part of this story. "Babies and their well-being have never been much of a priority in the United States," Rosenberg wrote this week. "But an alarming shortage of infant formula — and the lack of a national mobilization to keep babies fed — provides a new measure of how deeply that indifference runs."

In her column, Rosenberg suggests the creation of a national stockpile, as exists for some other crucial resources, to prevent future shortages.

For more: The Times's Well has a guide for parents searching for formula, and Politico's Helena Bottemiller Evich has offered tips on Twitter.

THE LATEST NEWS

War in Ukraine

A funeral for a Ukrainian soldier yesterday.David Guttenfelder for The New York Times

Ukraine's ability to win largely depends on how many powerful weapons the West can provide.
Vladimir Putin is against NATO expansion. Instead, Finland (which borders Russia) wants to join, and Sweden may be next.
Senator Rand Paul, a Kentucky Republican, delayed a bipartisan effort to send $40 billion in aid to Ukraine.
Children are paying a heavy price, with millions displaced and schools in disarray.
Russia is attacking Ukraine's hospitals, this Times Opinion video shows.

Politics

Kevin McCarthy on Capitol Hill yesterday.Tom Brenner for The New York Times

The Jan 6. committee subpoenaed Representative Kevin McCarthy, the minority leader, and four of his colleagues.
The Senate confirmed Jerome Powell for a second term as the Federal Reserve chair.
Representative Conor Lamb, a moderate Democrat, once seemed like the front-runner in Pennsylvania's Senate race. Now, he's trailing by double digits.
The looming loss of abortion rights has re-energized the Democratic Party's left flank, and put anti-abortion members on the defensive.

MORNING READS

Karsten Moran for The New York Times

Helicopters vs. homeowners: A very Hamptons fight.

Surgery: Butt lifts are booming. Recovery is no joke.

The promoter: Jake Paul helped bring women's boxing to new heights. Yes, that Jake Paul.

A Times classic: Inside one boy's magnificent mind.

Advice from Wirecutter: How to pack for a national park.

Lives Lived: Susan Nussbaum began using a wheelchair after she was hit by a car at 24. She became an integral part of Chicago's disability-rights scene, and an acclaimed playwright and novelist. She died at 68.

ARTS AND IDEAS

Ukraine's delegation, The Kalush Orchestra.Alessandro Grassani for The New York Times

Eyes on Eurovision

About 200 million people are expected to tune in tomorrow to the finals of the annual Eurovision Song Contest. Here's how to watch from the U.S.

The favorite: Oddsmakers say it's Ukraine, largely because of popular support for the country. The band Kalush Orchestra will perform "Stefania," a combination of folk music and hip-hop. Ukraine has won the competition twice in the past 20 years. Russia and its ally Belarus are barred.

The reward: The winning act receives no money, only a trophy — and its country hosts the event the following year. Fame doesn't necessarily follow, though past winners include Abba (in 1974) and Celine Dion (representing Switzerland in 1988.)

Standout lyrics: Norway will sing, "And before that wolf eats my grandma / give that wolf a banana," and Serbia's entry asks, "What is the secret of Meghan Markle's hair?" Latvia's song about being environmentally friendly, "Eat Your Salad," didn't make it to tomorrow's finale.

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook

Bryan Gardner for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Barrett Washburne

Pistachios add color and crunch to this bucatini.

What to Watch

Four children develop unusual abilities in "The Innocents," a wonderfully eerie Norwegian horror movie.

What to Read

In "Nasty, Brutish, and Short," Scott Hershovitz takes readers on a tour of philosophy, based on conversations with his two sons.

Take the News quiz

Test your knowledge of this week's headlines.

Late Night

The hosts discussed North Korea's reported Covid outbreak.

Now Time to Play

The pangram from yesterday's Spelling Bee was injected. Here is today's puzzle — or you can play online.

Here's today's Wordle. Here's today's Mini Crossword, and a clue: Party thrower (four letters).

If you're in the mood to play more, find all our games here.

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

P.S. Elisabeth Goodridge, The Times's deputy travel editor, will study travel reporting in an era of climate change as a 2023 Nieman fellow at Harvard.

Here's today's front page.

"The Daily" is about America's Covid death toll. "The Ezra Klein Show" features Patrick Deneen. "Still Processing" is about Keanu Reeves.

Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti, Ashley Wu and Sanam Yar contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.